PHI — Week 2 at TEN, who allow the 17th-most points to WRs — recently Garrett Wilson put up 7.9 on them (W1).
8.3 PPR points against WAS on 3/6 rec, 53 yd — missed his 14.9 projection by 6.6. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
DeVonta Smith projects 14.8 PPR points in week 2 at TEN — the 17th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 8.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TEN: 215 passing yards a game allowed (8.96/attempt) · 0 TDs/gm through the air — all of it adding up to the 17th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how TEN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 95% offensive snaps · 9.5 targets/game, 32.8% target share · 49.7% air-yard share (aDOT 14.1) · 6.5 catches for 85 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 84.4% offensive snaps, 6.6 targets/game, 24.6% target share, 32.1% air-yard share (aDOT 12), 4.5 catches for 59.3 yards/game, 4 TD. (2025) TD luck: 4 scored vs 4.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.4 · median 11.1 · ceiling 22.6 — 55% chance of 10+, 33% of 15+, 16% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare DeVonta Smith in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 9.7 | 12.2 | 14.8 | 17th |
| W3 | @ CHI | Mon, Sep 28 | 10.1 | 12.8 | 15.6 | 6th · soft |
| W4 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 4 | 9.2 | 11.8 | 14.4 | 4th · soft |
| W5 | @ JAX | Sun, Oct 11 | 8.3 | 10.8 | 13.3 | 14th |
| W6 | vs CAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 9.0 | 11.6 | 14.3 | 10th |
| W7 | vs DAL | Mon, Oct 26 | 10.5 | 13.4 | 16.2 | 26th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | WAS | 3/6 rec, 53 yd | 5.3 | 6.8 | 8.3 |