IND — Week 1 vs BAL, who allow the 14th-most points to RBs — recently Emanuel Wilson put up 2.4 on them (W17), Kenny Gainwell put up 13.4 on them (W18).
DJ Giddens projects 1.5 PPR points in week 1 vs BAL — the 14th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 1.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs BAL: 106.6 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.19 a carry · 1.1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 14th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 12% offensive snaps · 5.2 carries/game · 1.3% target share. TD luck: 0 scored vs 1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare DJ Giddens in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs BAL | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 14th |
| W2 | @ KC | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 26th · tough |
| W3 | vs HOU | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 24th |
| W4 | @ WAS | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4th · soft |
| W5 | @ PIT | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 28th · tough |
| W6 | vs TEN | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 12th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | HOU | 8 car, 30 yd | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| W5 | LV | 5 car, 22 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| W3 | TEN | 1 car, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| W1 | MIA | 12 car, 41 yd | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 |