BUF · Questionable — Undisclosed — Week 9 at MIN, who allow the 30th-most points to WRs — recently Keenan Allen put up 3.1 on them (W7), Jameson Williams put up 13 on them (W8).
16.6 PPR points against BAL on 1 car, 4 yd · 4/7 rec, 82 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum — right on his 14.0 projection (+2.6). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
DJ Moore projects 12.9 PPR points in week 9 at MIN — the 30th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 10.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs MIN: 180.1 passing yards a game allowed (6.21/attempt) · 0.6 TDs/gm through the air · 1.1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 49.5 receiving yards · 27% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 5 games): 55.2% offensive snaps · 5.4 targets/game, 19% target share · 25.3% air-yard share (aDOT 15) · 3.2 catches for 52 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 84.8% offensive snaps, 5 targets/game, 16.1% target share, 19.9% air-yard share (aDOT 11.6), 2.9 catches for 40.1 yards/game, 7 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.8 · median 8.8 · ceiling 22.7 — 46% chance of 10+, 29% of 15+, 17% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare DJ Moore in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ MIN | Mon, Nov 9 | 8.9 | 10.9 | 12.9 | 30th · tough |
| W10 | @ NYJ | Sun, Nov 15 | 10.0 | 12.1 | 14.3 | 21st |
| W11 | vs MIA | Sun, Nov 22 | 11.1 | 13.5 | 15.9 | 29th · tough |
| W12 | vs KC | Thu, Nov 26 | 9.2 | 11.3 | 13.3 | 31st · tough |
| W13 | @ NE | Sun, Dec 6 | 9.4 | 11.6 | 13.8 | 11th |
| W14 | @ GB | Sun, Dec 13 | 10.0 | 12.2 | 14.4 | 15th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | BAL | 1 car, 4 yd · 4/7 rec, 82 yd, 1 TD · 1 fum | 12.6 | 14.6 | 16.6 |
| W4 | NE | 1 car, 6 yd · 1/2 rec, 11 yd | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| W3 | LAC | 6/10 rec, 67 yd | 6.7 | 9.7 | 12.7 |
| W2 | DET | 1 car, -1 yd | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| W1 | HOU | 5/8 rec, 100 yd, 1 TD | 16.0 | 18.5 | 21.0 |