PIT — Week 10 at CIN, who allow the 12th-most points to WRs — recently Zay Flowers put up 19.7 on them (W7), Chimere Dike put up 13.1 on them (W8).
1.4 PPR points against CLE on 1/6 rec, 4 yd — missed his 11.2 projection by 9.8. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
DK Metcalf projects 11.0 PPR points in week 10 at CIN — the 12th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 9.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CIN: 261 passing yards a game allowed (7.58/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CIN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 94.5% offensive snaps · 8 targets/game, 23.3% target share · 38.6% air-yard share (aDOT 12.6) · 4.1 catches for 47.3 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 87.3% offensive snaps, 6.6 targets/game, 22.4% target share, 37.2% air-yard share (aDOT 10.5), 3.9 catches for 56.7 yards/game, 7 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 3.3 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare DK Metcalf in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ CIN | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 11.0 | 12th |
| W11 | @ PHI | Sun, Nov 22 | 6.5 | 8.2 | 9.8 | 1st · soft |
| W12 | vs DEN | Fri, Nov 27 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 9.3 | 27th · tough |
| W13 | vs HOU | Sun, Dec 6 | 7.1 | 8.8 | 10.5 | 4th · soft |
| W14 | @ JAX | Mon, Dec 14 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 10.5 | 9th |
| W15 | vs BAL | Sun, Dec 20 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 10.4 | 10th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CLE | 1/6 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| W7 | NO | 2/6 rec, 56 yd | 5.6 | 6.6 | 7.6 |
| W6 | TB | 11/15 rec, 93 yd | 9.3 | 14.8 | 20.3 |
| W5 | IND | 1 car, 11 yd · 3/4 rec, 12 yd | 2.3 | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| W4 | CLE | 5/9 rec, 115 yd | 11.5 | 14.0 | 16.5 |
| W3 | CIN | 3/5 rec, 31 yd, 1 TD | 9.1 | 10.6 | 12.1 |
| W2 | NE | 4/9 rec, 27 yd | 2.7 | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| W1 | ATL | 4/10 rec, 40 yd | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 |