NE — Week 9 vs GB, who allow the 27th-most points to QBs — recently Jared Goff put up 18 on them (W7), Bryce Young put up 11.4 on them (W8).
22.5 PPR points against MIA on 16/20, 199 pass yd, 2 TD · 8 car, 5 yd, 1 TD — right on his 21.1 projection (+1.4). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Drake Maye projects 21.1 PPR points in week 9 vs GB — the 27th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 24.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs GB: 220.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.22/attempt) · 1.3 passing TDs/gm · 2.8 sacks and 1.3 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 13.1 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 27th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how GB defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 230.5 passing yards · 1.7 passing TDs · 25.5 rushing yards · 23% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 97.6% offensive snaps · 29.3 attempts/game, 67.1% completions, 8.5 yards/attempt, 247.9 passing yards/game, 15 TD to 8 INT · 5.8 carries/game. 2025 baseline (17 games): 95.8% offensive snaps, 28.9 attempts/game, 72% completions, 8.9 yards/attempt, 258.5 passing yards/game, 31 TD to 8 INT, 6.1 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 15 thrown vs 13.4 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 10.8 · median 20.9 · ceiling 30.8 — 92% chance of 10+, 79% of 15+, 54% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Drake Maye in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs GB | Sun, Nov 8 | 21.1 | 21.1 | 21.1 | 27th · tough |
| W10 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 15 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 1st · soft |
| W12 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 29 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 26th · tough |
| W13 | vs BUF | Sun, Dec 6 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 11th |
| W14 | vs MIN | Thu, Dec 10 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 32nd · tough |
| W15 | @ KC | Mon, Dec 21 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 28th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | MIA | 16/20, 199 pass yd, 2 TD · 8 car, 5 yd, 1 TD | 22.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 |
| W7 | CHI | 24/31, 321 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT · 4 car, 26 yd, 1 TD | 28.4 | 28.4 | 28.4 |
| W6 | NYJ | 18/32, 235 pass yd, 3 TD · 4 car, 24 yd | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 |
| W5 | LV | 26/34, 374 pass yd, 4 TD · 7 car, 25 yd, 1 TD | 39.5 | 39.5 | 39.5 |
| W4 | BUF | 22/37, 269 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT · 8 car, 54 yd · 1 fum | 27.2 | 27.2 | 27.2 |
| W3 | JAX | 14/25, 199 pass yd, 2 INT · 4 car, 18 yd · 1 fum | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| W2 | PIT | 14/22, 208 pass yd, 1 INT · 4 car, 17 yd | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| W1 | SEA | 23/33, 178 pass yd, 1 TD, 3 INT · 7 car, 47 yd | 12.8 | 12.8 | 12.8 |