NE — Week 2 vs PIT, who allow the 30th-most points to QBs — recently Cooper Rush put up 7.7 on them (W1).
12.8 PPR points against SEA on 23/33, 178 pass yd, 1 TD, 3 INT · 7 car, 47 yd — missed his 19.7 projection by 6.9. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Drake Maye projects 18.9 PPR points in week 2 vs PIT — the 30th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 12.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs PIT: 143 passing yards a game allowed (6.5/attempt) · 1 passing TDs/gm · 4 sacks and 2 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how PIT defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 100% offensive snaps · 27.5 attempts/game, 67.3% completions, 7 yards/attempt, 193 passing yards/game, 1 TD to 4 INT · 5.5 carries/game. 2025 baseline (17 games): 95.8% offensive snaps, 28.9 attempts/game, 72% completions, 8.9 yards/attempt, 258.5 passing yards/game, 31 TD to 8 INT, 6.1 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 31 thrown vs 35.1 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 11.3 · median 19.1 · ceiling 26.3 — 94% chance of 10+, 76% of 15+, 44% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Drake Maye in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs PIT | Sun, Sep 20 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 30th · tough |
| W3 | @ JAX | Sun, Sep 27 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 21st |
| W4 | @ BUF | Sun, Oct 4 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 15th |
| W5 | vs LV | Sun, Oct 11 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 13th |
| W6 | vs NYJ | Sun, Oct 18 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 21.9 | 26th · tough |
| W7 | @ CHI | Thu, Oct 22 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SEA | 23/33, 178 pass yd, 1 TD, 3 INT · 7 car, 47 yd | 12.8 | 12.8 | 12.8 |