IND — Week 1 vs BAL, who allow the 29th-most points to TEs — recently Josh Whyle put up 0.8 on them (W17), Pat Freiermuth put up 5.1 on them (W18).
Drew Ogletree projects 0.5 PPR points in week 1 vs BAL — the 29th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 4.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs BAL: 259 passing yards a game allowed (7.04/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 23.7% offensive snaps · 1.8% target share · 1.6% air-yard share (aDOT 7). TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Drew Ogletree in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs BAL | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 29th · tough |
| W2 | @ KC | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 28th · tough |
| W3 | vs HOU | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 20th |
| W4 | @ WAS | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2nd · soft |
| W5 | @ PIT | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 4th · soft |
| W6 | vs TEN | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 11th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W16 | SF | 1/2 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W13 | HOU | 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| W12 | KC | 2/2 rec, 8 yd, 1 TD | 6.8 | 7.8 | 8.8 |