IND · Questionable — Knee — Week 8 at JAX, who allow the 19th-most points to TEs — recently Dallas Goedert put up 3.8 on them (W5), Foster Moreau put up 12.7 on them (W6).
3.2 PPR points against MIN on 2/2 rec, 12 yd. The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Drew Ogletree projects 0.6 PPR points in week 8 at JAX — the 19th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 2.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs JAX: 283 passing yards a game allowed (8.01/attempt) · 1.2 TDs/gm through the air · 1.2 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 5 games): 31.3% offensive snaps · 1 targets/game, 3.7% target share · 1.6% air-yard share (aDOT 2) · 0.6 catches for 3.2 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (11 games): 23.7% offensive snaps, 0.5 targets/game, 1.8% target share, 1.6% air-yard share (aDOT 7), 0.4 catches for 2.5 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Drew Ogletree in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ JAX | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 19th |
| W9 | vs DAL | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 20th |
| W10 | vs MIA | Sun, Nov 15 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3rd · soft |
| W11 | @ HOU | Thu, Nov 19 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 28th · tough |
| W12 | vs NYG | Sun, Nov 29 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 21st |
| W14 | @ PHI | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 25th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | MIN | 2/2 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| W5 | PIT | 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |