CIN — Week 8 vs TEN, who allow the 24th-most points to TEs — recently Mo Alie-Cox put up 6.1 on them (W6), Harold Fannin Jr. put up 7.1 on them (W7).
10.4 PPR points against BAL on 2/2 rec, 24 yd, 1 TD. The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Drew Sample projects 3.5 PPR points in week 8 vs TEN — the 24th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 5.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs TEN: 245.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.68/attempt) · 0.9 TDs/gm through the air · 0.8 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how TEN defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 12.5 receiving yards · 14% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 51.7% offensive snaps · 2 targets/game, 6.1% target share · 0.7% air-yard share (aDOT 0.9) · 1.8 catches for 12 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (12 games): 53.6% offensive snaps, 1.7 targets/game, 4.9% target share, 0.1% air-yard share (aDOT -0.3), 1.3 catches for 8.8 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Drew Sample in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 1 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 24th |
| W9 | @ ATL | Sun, Nov 8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 12th |
| W10 | vs PIT | Sun, Nov 15 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 18th |
| W11 | @ WAS | Mon, Nov 23 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2nd · soft |
| W12 | vs NO | Sun, Nov 29 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 7th · soft |
| W13 | @ CLE | Sun, Dec 6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | BAL | 2/2 rec, 24 yd, 1 TD | 8.4 | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| W5 | MIA | 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W1 | TB | 3/3 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.9 |