NE — Week 8 at MIA, who allow the 3rd-most points to TEs — recently Tanner Hudson put up 7.4 on them (W5), Mason Taylor put up 20.2 on them (W7).
14.6 PPR points against CHI on 3/4 rec, 56 yd, 1 TD — beat his 5.6 projection by 9. The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Eli Raridon projects 5.6 PPR points in week 8 at MIA — the 3rd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 9.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs MIA: 236.2 passing yards a game allowed (8.1/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 3rd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 19.5 receiving yards · 20% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 50% offensive snaps · 2.7 targets/game, 8.8% target share · 8.3% air-yard share (aDOT 8.3) · 2 catches for 28 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 8 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.3 · median 3.5 · ceiling 9.6 — 10% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Eli Raridon in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 1 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 3rd · soft |
| W9 | vs GB | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 31st · tough |
| W10 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 15 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 1st · soft |
| W12 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 29 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 23rd |
| W13 | vs BUF | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 8th · soft |
| W14 | vs MIN | Thu, Dec 10 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 32nd · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | CHI | 3/4 rec, 56 yd, 1 TD | 11.6 | 13.1 | 14.6 |
| W6 | NYJ | 1/3 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W5 | LV | 5/5 rec, 57 yd | 5.7 | 8.2 | 10.7 |
| W4 | BUF | 1/2 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| W2 | PIT | 1/1 rec, 30 yd | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| W1 | SEA | 1/1 rec, 2 yd, 1 TD | 6.2 | 6.7 | 7.2 |