ARI — Week 9 at SEA, who allow the 30th-most points to TEs — recently Noah Gray put up 4.4 on them (W7), Colston Loveland put up 4.5 on them (W8).
3.0 PPR points against DAL on 2/4 rec, 10 yd — right on his 4.5 projection (-1.5). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Elijah Higgins projects 5.5 PPR points in week 9 at SEA — the 30th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 4.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs SEA: 169.1 passing yards a game allowed (5.48/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how SEA defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 14.5 receiving yards · 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 38.3% offensive snaps · 2.6 targets/game, 6.2% target share · 1.8% air-yard share (aDOT 2.7) · 2.3 catches for 21.6 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 42.5% offensive snaps, 2.2 targets/game, 6.7% target share, 3.5% air-yard share (aDOT 4), 1.8 catches for 17.7 yards/game, 0 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.9 · median 3.1 · ceiling 9.4 — 9% chance of 10+, 3% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Elijah Higgins in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ SEA | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 30th · tough |
| W10 | vs LAR | Sun, Nov 15 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 27th · tough |
| W11 | @ KC | Sun, Nov 22 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 6th · soft |
| W12 | vs WAS | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 7.2 | 2nd · soft |
| W13 | vs PHI | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 29th · tough |
| W15 | vs NYJ | Sun, Dec 20 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 18th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | DAL | 2/4 rec, 10 yd | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| W7 | DEN | 3/3 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| W6 | LAR | 3/3 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 4.3 | 5.8 |
| W5 | DET | 3/3 rec, 57 yd | 5.7 | 7.2 | 8.7 |
| W4 | NYG | 2/2 rec, 19 yd, 1 TD | 7.9 | 8.9 | 9.9 |
| W3 | SF | 3/3 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| W2 | SEA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |