TB · Questionable — Foot — Week 9 at CHI, who allow the 13th-most points to WRs — recently A.J. Brown put up 4.8 on them (W7), Jaxon Smith-Njigba put up 17.8 on them (W8).
Emeka Egbuka projects 10.5 PPR points in week 9 at CHI — the 13th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 12.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CHI: 234.6 passing yards a game allowed (8.23/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 13th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CHI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 52.5 receiving yards · 32% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 85.8% offensive snaps · 8.2 targets/game, 25.6% target share · 38.4% air-yard share (aDOT 9.7) · 4.7 catches for 40 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 77.6% offensive snaps, 7.5 targets/game, 23.6% target share, 35.3% air-yard share (aDOT 12.4), 3.7 catches for 55.2 yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.7 · median 7.3 · ceiling 16.5 — 36% chance of 10+, 16% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Emeka Egbuka in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ CHI | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.9 | 8.7 | 10.5 | 13th |
| W11 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 22 | 8.1 | 10.4 | 12.6 | 7th · soft |
| W12 | vs CAR | Mon, Nov 30 | 6.6 | 8.7 | 10.7 | 25th · tough |
| W13 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 6 | 7.3 | 9.5 | 11.6 | 18th |
| W14 | @ BAL | Sun, Dec 13 | 7.0 | 9.2 | 11.4 | 10th |
| W15 | vs NO | Sun, Dec 20 | 7.1 | 9.3 | 11.5 | 19th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W6 | PIT | 7/16 rec, 48 yd, 1 TD | 10.8 | 14.3 | 17.8 |
| W5 | DAL | 1 car, 14 yd, 1 TD · 6/9 rec, 38 yd | 11.2 | 14.2 | 17.2 |
| W4 | GB | 2/4 rec, 13 yd | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| W3 | MIN | 5/9 rec, 62 yd | 6.2 | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| W2 | CLE | 1 car, -3 yd · 3/5 rec, 16 yd, 1 TD | 7.3 | 8.8 | 10.3 |
| W1 | CIN | 5/6 rec, 63 yd | 6.3 | 8.8 | 11.3 |