SEA — Week 1 vs NE, who allow the 13th-most points to TEs — recently Stone Smartt put up 1.8 on them (W17), Greg Dulcich put up 3.1 on them (W18).
Eric Saubert projects 0.5 PPR points in week 1 vs NE — the 13th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 2.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs NE: 206.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.7/attempt) · 1.5 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 13th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NE defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 4% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 39.5% offensive snaps · 3% target share · 2% air-yard share (aDOT 4). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Eric Saubert in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs NE | Wed, Sep 9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 13th |
| W2 | @ ARI | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3rd · soft |
| W3 | @ WAS | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2nd · soft |
| W4 | vs LAC | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 26th · tough |
| W5 | vs SF | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 9th |
| W6 | @ DEN | Thu, Oct 15 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | SF | 2/3 rec, 10 yd | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| W16 | LAR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |
| W15 | IND | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W3 | NO | 1/1 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 |