NYJ — Week 2 vs GB, who allow the 12th-most points to WRs — recently Justin Jefferson put up 23.2 on them (W1).
13.9 PPR points against TEN on 6/7 rec, 79 yd — right on his 13.5 projection (+0.4). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Garrett Wilson projects 15.1 PPR points in week 2 vs GB — the 12th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 13.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs GB: 151 passing yards a game allowed (6.29/attempt) · 3 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 12th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how GB defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 75% offensive snaps · 7 targets/game, 24.9% target share · 37.9% air-yard share (aDOT 10.9) · 5.5 catches for 68 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (7 games): 87% offensive snaps, 8.4 targets/game, 35.4% target share, 56.3% air-yard share (aDOT 9.1), 5.1 catches for 56.4 yards/game, 4 TD. (2025) TD luck: 4 scored vs 1.3 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.7 · median 11.4 · ceiling 21.3 — 58% chance of 10+, 32% of 15+, 14% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Garrett Wilson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs GB | Sun, Sep 20 | 9.5 | 12.3 | 15.1 | 12th |
| W3 | @ DET | Sun, Sep 27 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 13.8 | 3rd · soft |
| W4 | @ CHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 9.9 | 12.5 | 15.1 | 6th · soft |
| W5 | vs CLE | Sun, Oct 11 | 8.9 | 11.3 | 13.7 | 2nd · soft |
| W6 | @ NE | Sun, Oct 18 | 9.0 | 11.6 | 14.2 | 13th |
| W7 | vs MIA | Sun, Oct 25 | 9.7 | 12.3 | 14.9 | 22nd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | TEN | 6/7 rec, 79 yd | 7.9 | 10.9 | 13.9 |