DAL — Week 2 vs WAS, who allow the 15th-most points to WRs — recently Dontayvion Wicks put up 13.3 on them (W1).
5.8 PPR points against NYG on 3/6 rec, 28 yd — missed his 16.6 projection by 10.8. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
George Pickens projects 15.7 PPR points in week 2 vs WAS — the 15th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs WAS: 203 passing yards a game allowed (8.12/attempt) · 3 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 15th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 84% offensive snaps · 7 targets/game, 22.9% target share · 33.8% air-yard share (aDOT 13.4) · 4.5 catches for 34 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 81.1% offensive snaps, 8.1 targets/game, 22.5% target share, 32.2% air-yard share (aDOT 11.3), 5.5 catches for 84.1 yards/game, 9 TD. (2025) TD luck: 9 scored vs 10.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.4 · median 12.2 · ceiling 23.8 — 63% chance of 10+, 39% of 15+, 19% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare George Pickens in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs WAS | Sun, Sep 20 | 10.9 | 13.3 | 15.7 | 15th |
| W3 | vs BAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 9.6 | 12.0 | 14.5 | 24th |
| W4 | @ HOU | Sun, Oct 4 | 9.2 | 11.4 | 13.7 | 5th · soft |
| W5 | vs TB | Thu, Oct 8 | 10.5 | 12.9 | 15.4 | 27th · tough |
| W6 | @ GB | Sun, Oct 18 | 10.1 | 12.6 | 15.1 | 12th |
| W7 | @ PHI | Mon, Oct 26 | 8.7 | 10.8 | 13.0 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NYG | 3/6 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 4.3 | 5.8 |