MIA — Week 2 at SF, who allow the 31st-most points to TEs — recently Davis Allen put up 1.3 on them (W1).
3.8 PPR points against LV on 2/2 rec, 18 yd — missed his 7.4 projection by 3.6. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Greg Dulcich projects 5.8 PPR points in week 2 at SF — the 31st-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 3.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs SF: 168 passing yards a game allowed (6/attempt) · 0 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 77% offensive snaps · 2.5 targets/game, 10.2% target share · 3.1% air-yard share (aDOT 2.2) · 2 catches for 17.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 42.2% offensive snaps, 3.7 targets/game, 15.4% target share, 9.2% air-yard share (aDOT 4.7), 2.9 catches for 37.2 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.5 · median 3.9 · ceiling 9.3 — 9% chance of 10+, 2% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Greg Dulcich in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ SF | Sun, Sep 20 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 31st · tough |
| W3 | vs KC | Sun, Sep 27 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 10th |
| W4 | @ MIN | Sun, Oct 4 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 9th |
| W5 | vs CIN | Sun, Oct 11 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 28th · tough |
| W7 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 25 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 23rd |
| W8 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 1 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 30th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LV | 2/2 rec, 18 yd | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 |