MIA — Week 9 vs DET, who allow the 1st-most points to TEs — recently Tucker Kraft put up 10.8 on them (W7), T.J. Hockenson put up 11.8 on them (W8).
8.3 PPR points against NE on 4/6 rec, 43 yd — right on his 6.9 projection (+1.4). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Greg Dulcich projects 8.2 PPR points in week 9 vs DET — the 1st-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 10.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs DET: 298.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.29/attempt) · 2.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 1st-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how DET defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 39.5 receiving yards · 24% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 66.7% offensive snaps · 4.7 targets/game, 17.2% target share · 13.9% air-yard share (aDOT 6.7) · 3.7 catches for 42.7 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 42.2% offensive snaps, 3.7 targets/game, 15.4% target share, 9.2% air-yard share (aDOT 4.7), 2.9 catches for 37.2 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.5 · median 5.5 · ceiling 11.8 — 17% chance of 10+, 4% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Greg Dulcich in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs DET | Sun, Nov 8 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 8.2 | 1st · soft |
| W10 | @ IND | Sun, Nov 15 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 5th · soft |
| W11 | @ BUF | Sun, Nov 22 | 4.0 | 5.6 | 7.1 | 14th |
| W12 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 29 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 18th |
| W13 | @ DEN | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 6.7 | 9th |
| W14 | vs CHI | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.5 | 6.1 | 7.6 | 21st |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | NE | 4/6 rec, 43 yd | 4.3 | 6.3 | 8.3 |
| W7 | NYJ | 5/5 rec, 86 yd | 8.6 | 11.1 | 13.6 |
| W5 | CIN | 4/5 rec, 37 yd | 5.7 | 7.7 | 9.7 |
| W3 | KC | 5/7 rec, 55 yd | 5.5 | 8.0 | 10.5 |
| W2 | SF | 2/3 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| W1 | LV | 2/2 rec, 18 yd | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 |