CLE · Questionable — Groin — Week 9 at NO, who allow the 7th-most points to TEs — recently Isaiah Likely put up 17.9 on them (W6), Darnell Washington put up 6.4 on them (W7).
23.4 PPR points against PIT on 10/12 rec, 154 yd · 1 fum — beat his 10.6 projection by 12.8. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Harold Fannin Jr. projects 11.4 PPR points in week 9 at NO — the 7th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 12.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NO: 249.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.6/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 7th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 49.5 receiving yards · 29% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 86.8% offensive snaps · 6.4 targets/game, 19.9% target share · 18.7% air-yard share (aDOT 6) · 4.4 catches for 51.4 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 75.9% offensive snaps, 6.7 targets/game, 21.8% target share, 18.7% air-yard share (aDOT 6), 4.5 catches for 45.7 yards/game, 7 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.4 · median 8.2 · ceiling 16.5 — 37% chance of 10+, 15% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Harold Fannin Jr. in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ NO | Sun, Nov 8 | 7.1 | 9.2 | 11.4 | 7th · soft |
| W10 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 15 | 6.8 | 8.8 | 10.8 | 28th · tough |
| W12 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 29 | 7.7 | 9.8 | 12.0 | 4th · soft |
| W13 | vs CIN | Sun, Dec 6 | 7.7 | 9.8 | 12.0 | 10th |
| W14 | vs ATL | Sun, Dec 13 | 6.9 | 9.1 | 11.2 | 16th |
| W15 | @ NYG | Sun, Dec 20 | 7.3 | 9.4 | 11.6 | 22nd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | PIT | 10/12 rec, 154 yd · 1 fum | 13.4 | 18.4 | 23.4 |
| W7 | TEN | 6/9 rec, 91 yd · 1 fum | 7.1 | 10.1 | 13.1 |
| W6 | BAL | 1/3 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W5 | NYJ | 1/4 rec, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| W4 | PIT | 3/5 rec, 27 yd, 1 TD | 8.7 | 10.2 | 11.7 |
| W3 | CAR | 7/9 rec, 51 yd, 2 TD | 17.1 | 20.6 | 24.1 |
| W2 | TB | 5/6 rec, 54 yd | 5.4 | 7.9 | 10.4 |
| W1 | JAX | 2/3 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 3.1 | 4.1 |