CLE — Week 3 vs CAR, who allow the 20th-most points to TEs — recently Cole Kmet put up 9.5 on them (W1), Austin Hooper put up 2 on them (W2).
10.4 PPR points against TB on 5/6 rec, 54 yd — right on his 9.8 projection (+0.6). The week 3 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Harold Fannin projects 9.0 PPR points in week 3 vs CAR — the 20th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 7.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 3 angle vs CAR: 207 passing yards a game allowed (6.79/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 1.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 20th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CAR defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 84% offensive snaps · 4.5 targets/game, 16.8% target share · 13.3% air-yard share (aDOT 3.8) · 3.5 catches for 37.5 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 75.9% offensive snaps, 6.7 targets/game, 21.8% target share, 18.7% air-yard share (aDOT 6), 4.5 catches for 45.7 yards/game, 7 TD. (2025) TD luck: 7 scored vs 3.4 expected — over expectation, regression risk. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 3 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.7 · median 6.1 · ceiling 13.1 — 22% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Harold Fannin in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.3 | 7.2 | 9.0 | 20th |
| W4 | vs PIT | Thu, Oct 1 | 6.5 | 8.7 | 10.8 | 18th |
| W5 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 11 | 7.2 | 9.3 | 11.5 | 30th · tough |
| W6 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.1 | 8.3 | 10.5 | 16th |
| W7 | @ TEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 7.3 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 27th · tough |
| W8 | @ PIT | Sun, Nov 1 | 6.5 | 8.7 | 10.8 | 18th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | TB | 5/6 rec, 54 yd | 5.4 | 7.9 | 10.4 |
| W1 | JAX | 2/3 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 3.1 | 4.1 |