NE — Week 2 vs PIT.
5.6 PPR points against SEA on 3/3 rec, 26 yd — missed his 9.4 projection by 3.8. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Hunter Henry projects 10.2 PPR points in week 2 vs PIT, averaging 5.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs PIT: 143 passing yards a game allowed (6.5/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 2 INTs/gm. Receipts and the full profile: how PIT defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 76% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 16.7% target share · 17.3% air-yard share (aDOT 8.6) · 3 catches for 33 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 79.4% offensive snaps, 5.1 targets/game, 17.4% target share, 15.4% air-yard share (aDOT 8.2), 3.5 catches for 45.2 yards/game, 7 TD. (2025) TD luck: 7 scored vs 7.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.8 · median 7.5 · ceiling 14.9 — 32% chance of 10+, 10% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Hunter Henry in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs PIT | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 10.2 | – |
| W3 | @ JAX | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.9 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 22nd |
| W4 | @ BUF | Sun, Oct 4 | 6.0 | 7.9 | 9.9 | 19th |
| W5 | vs LV | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 10.4 | 29th · tough |
| W6 | vs NYJ | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.7 | 8.6 | 10.5 | 23rd |
| W7 | @ CHI | Thu, Oct 22 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 10.7 | 20th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SEA | 3/3 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 4.1 | 5.6 |