LV · Questionable — Shoulder — Week 8 at NYJ, who allow the 27th-most points to TEs — recently Hunter Henry put up 10.8 on them (W6), Greg Dulcich put up 8.6 on them (W7).
1.8 PPR points against LAR on 1/1 rec, 8 yd — right on his 0.6 projection (+1.2). The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Ian Thomas projects 0.6 PPR points in week 8 at NYJ — the 27th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs NYJ: 202.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.67/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 27th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYJ defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 6% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 4 games): 33.3% offensive snaps · 1.3 targets/game, 3.2% target share · 1.5% air-yard share (aDOT 5) · 1.3 catches for 15 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 35.9% offensive snaps, 1.4 targets/game, 4.3% target share, 2.4% air-yard share (aDOT 3.2), 1.4 catches for 12.7 yards/game, 0 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Ian Thomas in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ NYJ | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 27th · tough |
| W9 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 26th · tough |
| W10 | vs SEA | Sun, Nov 15 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 30th · tough |
| W11 | @ DEN | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 11th |
| W12 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 29 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 17th |
| W14 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 23rd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | LAR | 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| W5 | NE | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W4 | KC | 2/2 rec, 32 yd, 1 TD | 9.2 | 10.2 | 11.2 |
| W2 | LAC | 1/1 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |