DET — Week 9 at MIA, who allow the 29th-most points to WRs — recently Omar Cooper Jr. put up 17.5 on them (W7), DeMario Douglas put up 13.6 on them (W8).
Isaac TeSlaa projects 4.5 PPR points in week 9 at MIA — the 29th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 8.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs MIA: 230.9 passing yards a game allowed (8.29/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 16.5 receiving yards · 20% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 56.7% offensive snaps · 3.5 targets/game, 9.1% target share · 12.8% air-yard share (aDOT 12.4) · 1.7 catches for 32.8 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 39.6% offensive snaps, 1.9 targets/game, 5.7% target share, 12% air-yard share (aDOT 13), 1.1 catches for 17.1 yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 2 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.3 · median 3 · ceiling 7.3 — 5% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Isaac TeSlaa in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 29th · tough |
| W10 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 15 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 11th |
| W11 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 22 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 26th · tough |
| W12 | vs CHI | Thu, Nov 26 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 13th |
| W13 | @ ATL | Sun, Dec 6 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 16th |
| W14 | vs TEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | GB | 1/2 rec, 10 yd | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| W4 | CAR | 4/8 rec, 95 yd | 9.5 | 11.5 | 13.5 |
| W3 | NYJ | 3/3 rec, 66 yd | 6.6 | 8.1 | 9.6 |
| W2 | BUF | 2/5 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 3.6 | 4.6 |