NYJ — Week 9 at KC, who allow the 24th-most points to RBs — recently Emanuel Wilson put up 17.5 on them (W7), Jonah Coleman put up 16.4 on them (W8).
1.5 PPR points against LV on 5 car, 15 yd — missed his 6.2 projection by 4.7. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Isaiah Davis projects 0.4 PPR points in week 9 at KC — the 24th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 4.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs KC: 96.3 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.59 a carry · 0.7 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how KC defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 24.5 rushing yards · 15% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 9% offensive snaps · 2.1 carries/game (9% of team carries) · 11.5% of the backfield's touches · 0.9 targets/game, 3% target share · 6.3 rushing and 9.7 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 28% offensive snaps, 2.7 carries/game (9.9% of team carries), 17.6% of the backfield's touches, 1.8 targets/game, 6.3% target share, 14.8 rushing and 11.6 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Isaiah Davis in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ KC | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 24th |
| W10 | vs BUF | Sun, Nov 15 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 6th · soft |
| W11 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 9th |
| W12 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 29 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 10th |
| W14 | vs DEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 11th |
| W15 | @ ARI | Sun, Dec 20 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 15th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | LV | 5 car, 15 yd | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| W7 | MIA | 1 car, 5 yd · 3/3 rec, 49 yd | 5.4 | 6.9 | 8.4 |
| W6 | NE | 7 car, 16 yd · 1/1 rec, 10 yd | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| W5 | CLE | 2 car, 8 yd · 1/2 rec, 9 yd | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 |