NYJ — Week 1 at TEN, who allow the 4th-most points to WRs — recently Chris Olave put up 17.9 on them (W17), Parker Washington put up 14.7 on them (W18).
Isaiah Williams projects 2.6 PPR points in week 1 at TEN — the 4th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.1 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs TEN: 248.3 passing yards a game allowed (8.23/attempt) · 1.8 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 4th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how TEN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 3.5 receiving yards · 10% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 36.1% offensive snaps · 8.8% target share · 5% air-yard share (aDOT 3.4). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Isaiah Williams in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ TEN | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 4th · soft |
| W2 | vs GB | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 14th |
| W3 | @ DET | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3rd · soft |
| W4 | @ CHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2nd · soft |
| W5 | vs CLE | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 22nd |
| W6 | @ NE | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 18th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | BUF | 5/7 rec, 24 yd | 2.4 | 4.9 | 7.4 |
| W17 | NE | 1 car, 5 yd · 4/5 rec, 30 yd | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| W16 | NO | 4/4 rec, 25 yd | 2.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| W15 | JAX | 6/7 rec, 53 yd | 5.3 | 8.3 | 11.3 |
| W14 | MIA | 2/3 rec, 24 yd | 8.4 | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| W11 | NE | 0/1, 0 pass yd · 1 car, 4 yd · 1/4 rec, 2 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W10 | CLE | 1/1 rec, 4 yd | 6.4 | 6.9 | 7.4 |
| W8 | CIN | 1 car, 25 yd · 3/4 rec, 31 yd | 5.6 | 7.1 | 8.6 |
| W4 | MIA | 1 fum | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |