JAX — Week 2 at DEN, who allow the 29th-most points to WRs — recently Rashee Rice put up 7.9 on them (W1).
12.2 PPR points against CLE on 1 car, 2 yd · 2/2 rec, 40 yd, 1 TD — right on his 10.4 projection (+1.8). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jakobi Meyers projects 7.4 PPR points in week 2 at DEN — the 29th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 12.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs DEN: 184 passing yards a game allowed (6.81/attempt) · 2 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how DEN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 65% offensive snaps · 1.5 targets/game, 6.5% target share · 9.5% air-yard share (aDOT 16.7) · 1.5 catches for 34 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 85% offensive snaps, 6.9 targets/game, 22.9% target share, 28.2% air-yard share (aDOT 9.2), 4.7 catches for 52.2 yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 5.9 expected — under expectation, positive regression due. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.6 · median 5 · ceiling 10.3 — 12% chance of 10+, 2% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jakobi Meyers in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 7.4 | 29th · tough |
| W3 | vs NE | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.7 | 8.7 | 10.8 | 13th |
| W4 | @ CIN | Sun, Oct 4 | 7.4 | 9.4 | 11.3 | 21st |
| W5 | vs PHI | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.5 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 9th |
| W6 | vs HOU | Sun, Oct 18 | 5.9 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 5th · soft |
| W8 | vs IND | Sun, Nov 1 | 6.5 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 7th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CLE | 1 car, 2 yd · 2/2 rec, 40 yd, 1 TD | 10.2 | 11.2 | 12.2 |