JAX — Week 9 at BAL, who allow the 10th-most points to WRs — recently Tee Higgins put up 20.8 on them (W7), DJ Moore put up 12.6 on them (W8).
4.4 PPR points against IND on 2/3 rec, 24 yd — missed his 9.0 projection by 4.6. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jakobi Meyers projects 9.4 PPR points in week 9 at BAL — the 10th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs BAL: 241.9 passing yards a game allowed (7.41/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 10th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how BAL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 42.5 receiving yards · 23% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 76% offensive snaps · 4.4 targets/game, 15.7% target share · 19.6% air-yard share (aDOT 10.5) · 3.1 catches for 44.1 yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 85% offensive snaps, 6.9 targets/game, 22.9% target share, 28.2% air-yard share (aDOT 9.2), 4.7 catches for 52.2 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.2 · median 6.5 · ceiling 14.4 — 26% chance of 10+, 9% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jakobi Meyers in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ BAL | Thu, Nov 5 | 6.1 | 7.8 | 9.4 | 10th |
| W10 | @ TEN | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 11.1 | 2nd · soft |
| W11 | @ NYG | Sun, Nov 22 | 6.9 | 8.8 | 10.6 | 17th |
| W12 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 29 | 7.1 | 9.1 | 11.1 | 2nd · soft |
| W13 | @ CHI | Sun, Dec 6 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 10.9 | 13th |
| W14 | vs PIT | Mon, Dec 14 | 7.1 | 8.9 | 10.7 | 28th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | IND | 2/3 rec, 24 yd | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.4 |
| W6 | HOU | 5/10 rec, 83 yd | 8.3 | 10.8 | 13.3 |
| W5 | PHI | 2/3 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 4.7 | 5.7 |
| W4 | CIN | 3/4 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 4.8 | 6.3 |
| W3 | NE | 7/8 rec, 64 yd, 1 TD | 12.4 | 15.9 | 19.4 |
| W2 | DEN | 1/1 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| W1 | CLE | 1 car, 2 yd · 2/2 rec, 40 yd, 1 TD | 10.2 | 11.2 | 12.2 |