DEN — Week 2 vs JAX, who allow the 31st-most points to RBs — recently Jonathan Taylor put up 14.4 on them (W17), Tony Pollard put up 6.5 on them (W18).
Jaleel McLaughlin projects 0.9 PPR points in week 2 vs JAX — the 31st-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 4.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs JAX: 85.6 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.94 a carry · 0.8 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 5% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 16% offensive snaps · 4.6 carries/game · 2.6% target share. TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.8 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Jaleel McLaughlin in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs JAX | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 31st · tough |
| W3 | vs LAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 25th · tough |
| W4 | @ SF | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 15th |
| W5 | @ LAC | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 27th · tough |
| W6 | vs SEA | Thu, Oct 15 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 32nd · tough |
| W7 | @ ARI | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | LAC | 6 car, 41 yd · 1/2 rec, 17 yd | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.8 |
| W17 | KC | 7 car, 40 yd | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| W16 | JAX | 5 car, 37 yd | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| W15 | GB | 2 car, 4 yd | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| W14 | LV | 4 car, 22 yd · 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| W13 | WAS | 6 car, 24 yd · 1/1 rec, 6 yd | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| W11 | KC | 6 car, 19 yd, 1 TD · 1/1 rec, -5 yd | 7.4 | 7.9 | 8.4 |