PHI — Week 2 at TEN, who allow the 29th-most points to QBs — recently Geno Smith put up 9.3 on them (W1).
24.7 PPR points against WAS on 14/25, 203 pass yd, 3 TD · 7 car, 46 yd — beat his 20.0 projection by 4.7. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jalen Hurts projects 20.8 PPR points in week 2 at TEN — the 29th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 24.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TEN: 215 passing yards a game allowed (8.96/attempt) · 0 passing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how TEN defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 100% offensive snaps · 31 attempts/game, 64.5% completions, 7.5 yards/attempt, 233.5 passing yards/game, 5 TD to 2 INT · 6 carries/game. 2025 baseline (16 games): 97.6% offensive snaps, 28.4 attempts/game, 64.8% completions, 7.1 yards/attempt, 201.5 passing yards/game, 25 TD to 6 INT, 6.6 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 25 thrown vs 20.6 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 10.6 · median 21.1 · ceiling 30.8 — 91% chance of 10+, 78% of 15+, 55% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jalen Hurts in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TEN | Sun, Sep 20 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 29th · tough |
| W3 | @ CHI | Mon, Sep 28 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 3rd · soft |
| W4 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 4 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 10th |
| W5 | @ JAX | Sun, Oct 11 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 21st |
| W6 | vs CAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 1st · soft |
| W7 | vs DAL | Mon, Oct 26 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 4th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | WAS | 14/25, 203 pass yd, 3 TD · 7 car, 46 yd | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 |