LV — Week 2 at LAC, who allow the 19th-most points to WRs — recently Kendrick Bourne put up 7.5 on them (W1).
5.7 PPR points against MIA on 3/5 rec, 27 yd — right on his 8.3 projection (-2.6). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jalen Nailor projects 7.8 PPR points in week 2 at LAC — the 19th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LAC: 277 passing yards a game allowed (7.49/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAC defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 60% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 13.8% target share · 18.9% air-yard share (aDOT 11.4) · 2 catches for 18 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 65.4% offensive snaps, 3.1 targets/game, 11.7% target share, 17.1% air-yard share (aDOT 12.4), 1.7 catches for 26.1 yards/game, 4 TD. (2025) TD luck: 4 scored vs 4.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.1 · median 5.1 · ceiling 13.7 — 20% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jalen Nailor in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ LAC | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.3 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 19th |
| W3 | @ NO | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 8.9 | 11th |
| W4 | vs KC | Sun, Oct 4 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 8.5 | 31st · tough |
| W5 | @ NE | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.1 | 7.5 | 9.0 | 13th |
| W6 | vs BUF | Sun, Oct 18 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 8th · soft |
| W7 | vs LAR | Sun, Oct 25 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 4th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIA | 3/5 rec, 27 yd | 2.7 | 4.2 | 5.7 |