LV — Week 9 at SF, who allow the 22nd-most points to WRs — recently Stefon Diggs put up 10.4 on them (W6), Drake London put up 12.6 on them (W7).
13.8 PPR points against NYJ on 4/4 rec, 38 yd, 1 TD — beat his 3.6 projection by 10.2. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jalen Nailor projects 3.1 PPR points in week 9 at SF — the 22nd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 6.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs SF: 223.9 passing yards a game allowed (6.32/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 22nd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 19.5 receiving yards · 19% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 55% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 12.6% target share · 17.6% air-yard share (aDOT 11.7) · 2 catches for 18.8 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 65.4% offensive snaps, 3.1 targets/game, 11.7% target share, 17.1% air-yard share (aDOT 12.4), 1.7 catches for 26.1 yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.6 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Jalen Nailor in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 22nd |
| W10 | vs SEA | Sun, Nov 15 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 32nd · tough |
| W11 | @ DEN | Sun, Nov 22 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 27th · tough |
| W12 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 20th |
| W14 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 13 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 18th |
| W15 | vs DEN | Sun, Dec 20 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 27th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | NYJ | 4/4 rec, 38 yd, 1 TD | 9.8 | 11.8 | 13.8 |
| W7 | LAR | 2/5 rec, 14 yd | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| W6 | BUF | 1/4 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W3 | NO | 1/3 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| W2 | LAC | 1/3 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W1 | MIA | 3/5 rec, 27 yd | 2.7 | 4.2 | 5.7 |