DET — Week 9 at MIA, who allow the 29th-most points to WRs — recently Omar Cooper Jr. put up 17.5 on them (W7), DeMario Douglas put up 13.6 on them (W8).
17.0 PPR points against MIN on 4/6 rec, 70 yd, 1 TD — beat his 9.8 projection by 7.2. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jameson Williams projects 12.7 PPR points in week 9 at MIA — the 29th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 20.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs MIA: 230.9 passing yards a game allowed (8.29/attempt) · 2.3 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how MIA defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 52.5 receiving yards · 34% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 88.3% offensive snaps · 6.3 targets/game, 18.4% target share · 38.4% air-yard share (aDOT 14.9) · 3.9 catches for 62.4 yards/game, 5 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 90.2% offensive snaps, 6 targets/game, 18.6% target share, 31.9% air-yard share (aDOT 12.6), 3.8 catches for 65.7 yards/game, 7 TD. (2026) TD luck: 5 scored vs 4.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.8 · median 9.1 · ceiling 19.7 — 46% chance of 10+, 24% of 15+, 10% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jameson Williams in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ MIA | Sun, Nov 8 | 8.8 | 10.7 | 12.7 | 29th · tough |
| W10 | vs NE | Sun, Nov 15 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 10.9 | 11th |
| W11 | vs TB | Sun, Nov 22 | 8.0 | 9.8 | 11.7 | 26th · tough |
| W12 | vs CHI | Thu, Nov 26 | 8.2 | 10.0 | 11.7 | 13th |
| W13 | @ ATL | Sun, Dec 6 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 10.9 | 16th |
| W14 | vs TEN | Sun, Dec 13 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | MIN | 4/6 rec, 70 yd, 1 TD | 13.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 |
| W7 | GB | 5/9 rec, 91 yd, 2 TD | 21.1 | 23.6 | 26.1 |
| W5 | ARI | 2/4 rec, 47 yd, 2 TD | 16.7 | 17.7 | 18.7 |
| W4 | CAR | 6/8 rec, 102 yd | 10.2 | 13.2 | 16.2 |
| W3 | NYJ | 4/4 rec, 49 yd | 4.9 | 6.9 | 8.9 |
| W2 | BUF | 2/4 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| W1 | NO | 4/9 rec, 45 yd | 4.5 | 6.5 | 8.5 |