DAL — Week 2 vs WAS, who allow the 24th-most points to RBs — recently Saquon Barkley put up 8 on them (W1).
24.2 PPR points against NYG on 12 car, 41 yd, 1 TD · 5/5 rec, 31 yd, 1 TD — beat his 15.5 projection by 8.7. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Javonte Williams projects 17.4 PPR points in week 2 vs WAS — the 24th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 24.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs WAS: 136 rushing yards a game allowed at 5.44 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how WAS defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 71% offensive snaps · 12 carries/game (61.5% of team carries) · 82.5% of the backfield's touches · 4.5 targets/game, 14.8% target share · 35.5 rushing and 25.5 receiving yards/game, 2 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 69% offensive snaps, 15.8 carries/game (57.9% of team carries), 69% of the backfield's touches, 3.2 targets/game, 8.6% target share, 75.1 rushing and 8.6 receiving yards/game, 13 TD. (2025) TD luck: 13 scored vs 14.6 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 8.8 · median 15.5 · ceiling 25.8 — 81% chance of 10+, 53% of 15+, 25% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Javonte Williams in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs WAS | Sun, Sep 20 | 14.9 | 16.2 | 17.4 | 24th |
| W3 | vs BAL | Sun, Sep 27 | 11.6 | 12.9 | 14.2 | 10th |
| W4 | @ HOU | Sun, Oct 4 | 11.5 | 12.7 | 13.9 | 28th · tough |
| W5 | vs TB | Thu, Oct 8 | 12.9 | 14.2 | 15.5 | 15th |
| W6 | @ GB | Sun, Oct 18 | 12.0 | 13.3 | 14.6 | 11th |
| W7 | @ PHI | Mon, Oct 26 | 11.4 | 12.5 | 13.7 | 18th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NYG | 12 car, 41 yd, 1 TD · 5/5 rec, 31 yd, 1 TD | 19.2 | 21.7 | 24.2 |