HOU — Week 2 vs CIN, who allow the 2nd-most points to RBs — recently Michael Carter put up 4.3 on them (W17), Dylan Sampson put up 4.4 on them (W18).
Jawhar Jordan projects 0.6 PPR points in week 2 vs CIN — the 2nd-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 5.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs CIN: 146.8 rushing yards a game allowed at 5.23 a carry · 1.1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 2nd-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how CIN defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 30% offensive snaps · 10.8 carries/game · 5.6% target share. TD luck: 0 scored vs 1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Jawhar Jordan in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs CIN | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2nd · soft |
| W3 | @ IND | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 22nd |
| W4 | vs DAL | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 8th · soft |
| W5 | @ TEN | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 12th |
| W6 | @ JAX | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 31st · tough |
| W7 | vs NYG | Sun, Oct 25 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 5th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | IND | 5 car, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| W17 | LAC | 8 car, 36 yd | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| W16 | LV | 15 car, 53 yd · 5/5 rec, 17 yd | 7.0 | 9.5 | 12.0 |
| W15 | ARI | 15 car, 101 yd · 2/2 rec, 17 yd | 11.8 | 12.8 | 13.8 |