NYG — Week 2 at LAR, who allow the 10th-most points to QBs — recently Brock Purdy put up 22.1 on them (W1).
26.6 PPR points against DAL on 23/29, 230 pass yd, 3 TD · 11 car, 54 yd — beat his 19.4 projection by 7.2. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jaxson Dart projects 18.1 PPR points in week 2 at LAR — the 10th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 26.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LAR: 205 passing yards a game allowed (6.03/attempt) · 3 passing TDs/gm · 0 sacks and 1 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 29 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 10th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAR defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 2): 219.5 passing yards · 0.69 passing TDs · 35.5 rushing yards · 27% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 1 game): 100% offensive snaps · 29 attempts/game, 79.3% completions, 7.9 yards/attempt, 230 passing yards/game, 3 TD to 0 INT · 11 carries/game. 2025 baseline (14 games): 83.6% offensive snaps, 24.2 attempts/game, 63.7% completions, 6.7 yards/attempt, 162.3 passing yards/game, 15 TD to 5 INT, 6.1 carries/game. (2025) Passing-TD luck: 15 thrown vs 15.7 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 6.7 · median 18.4 · ceiling 29.3 — 81% chance of 10+, 63% of 15+, 43% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jaxson Dart in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ LAR | Mon, Sep 21 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 10th |
| W3 | vs TEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 20.3 | 20.3 | 20.3 | 29th · tough |
| W4 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 4 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 22nd |
| W5 | @ WAS | Sun, Oct 11 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 8th · soft |
| W6 | vs NO | Sun, Oct 18 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 17th |
| W7 | @ HOU | Sun, Oct 25 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DAL | 23/29, 230 pass yd, 3 TD · 11 car, 54 yd | 26.6 | 26.6 | 26.6 |