GB · Out — Neck — Week 2 at NYJ, who allow the 23rd-most points to WRs — recently Elic Ayomanor put up 7.1 on them (W1).
5.0 PPR points against MIN on 3/7 rec, 20 yd — missed his 13.1 projection by 8.1. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jayden Reed projects 11.6 PPR points in week 2 at NYJ — the 23rd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs NYJ: 140 passing yards a game allowed (4.38/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 0 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NYJ defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 57% offensive snaps · 4 targets/game, 10.5% target share · 4.2% air-yard share (aDOT 5.6) · 2 catches for 12 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (5 games): 41.1% offensive snaps, 4.4 targets/game, 17.1% target share, 12.6% air-yard share (aDOT 8.1), 3.8 catches for 41.4 yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4 · median 8.6 · ceiling 16.8 — 41% chance of 10+, 15% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jayden Reed in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ NYJ | Sun, Sep 20 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 11.6 | 23rd |
| W3 | vs ATL | Thu, Sep 24 | 6.9 | 8.6 | 10.3 | 25th · tough |
| W4 | @ TB | Sun, Oct 4 | 7.6 | 9.5 | 11.4 | 27th · tough |
| W5 | vs CHI | Sun, Oct 11 | 7.8 | 9.8 | 11.8 | 6th · soft |
| W6 | vs DAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 12.2 | 26th · tough |
| W7 | @ DET | Sun, Oct 25 | 7.2 | 9.1 | 11.0 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIN | 3/7 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |