PIT — Week 10 at CIN, who allow the 21st-most points to RBs — recently Derrick Henry put up 4.9 on them (W7), Tony Pollard put up 25.7 on them (W8).
21.3 PPR points against CLE on 17 car, 143 yd, 1 TD · 1/2 rec, 0 yd — beat his 14.5 projection by 6.8. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jaylen Warren projects 16.5 PPR points in week 10 at CIN — the 21st-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 15.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CIN: 122.3 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.89 a carry · 1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 21st-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how CIN defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 72.1% offensive snaps · 14.9 carries/game (61.7% of team carries) · 68.6% of the backfield's touches · 4.5 targets/game, 13.5% target share · 88 rushing and 36.8 receiving yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (16 games): 50.8% offensive snaps, 13.2 carries/game (55.8% of team carries), 54.4% of the backfield's touches, 2.8 targets/game, 9.6% target share, 59.9 rushing and 20.8 receiving yards/game, 8 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Jaylen Warren in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | @ CIN | Sun, Nov 15 | 13.4 | 15.0 | 16.5 | 21st |
| W11 | @ PHI | Sun, Nov 22 | 10.5 | 12.0 | 13.5 | 13th |
| W12 | vs DEN | Fri, Nov 27 | 11.6 | 13.1 | 14.5 | 11th |
| W13 | vs HOU | Sun, Dec 6 | 11.2 | 12.8 | 14.3 | 14th |
| W14 | @ JAX | Mon, Dec 14 | 10.5 | 12.1 | 13.6 | 32nd · tough |
| W15 | vs BAL | Sun, Dec 20 | 11.0 | 12.5 | 14.1 | 23rd |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CLE | 17 car, 143 yd, 1 TD · 1/2 rec, 0 yd | 20.3 | 20.8 | 21.3 |
| W7 | NO | 18 car, 101 yd · 3/4 rec, 36 yd | 13.7 | 15.2 | 16.7 |
| W6 | TB | 14 car, 50 yd · 2/4 rec, 28 yd | 7.8 | 8.8 | 9.8 |
| W5 | IND | 15 car, 101 yd, 1 TD · 6/6 rec, 87 yd, 1 TD | 30.8 | 33.8 | 36.8 |
| W4 | CLE | 17 car, 93 yd · 3/6 rec, 33 yd | 12.6 | 14.1 | 15.6 |
| W3 | CIN | 17 car, 127 yd · 3/4 rec, 49 yd | 17.6 | 19.1 | 20.6 |
| W2 | NE | 11 car, 43 yd · 2/4 rec, 34 yd | 7.7 | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| W1 | ATL | 10 car, 46 yd · 5/6 rec, 27 yd · 1 fum | 5.3 | 7.8 | 10.3 |