MIA · Questionable — Quadriceps — Week 9 vs DET, who allow the 29th-most points to RBs — recently Josh Jacobs put up 15.1 on them (W7), Aaron Jones Sr. put up 4 on them (W8).
0.5 PPR points against NE on 2 car, 5 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd — missed his 3.7 projection by 3.2. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jaylen Wright projects 4.4 PPR points in week 9 vs DET — the 29th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 0.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs DET: 96.6 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.15 a carry · 0.9 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how DET defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 8.5 rushing yards · 0.5 receiving yards · 15% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 13.5% offensive snaps · 3.7 carries/game (13.5% of team carries) · 16.1% of the backfield's touches · 0.3 targets/game, 1.3% target share · 6.8 rushing and 0 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (9 games): 21.5% offensive snaps, 7.8 carries/game (25.7% of team carries), 26.9% of the backfield's touches, 1 targets/game, 4.1% target share, 32 rushing and 4.9 receiving yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0 · median 2.6 · ceiling 10.9 — 12% chance of 10+, 4% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jaylen Wright in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs DET | Sun, Nov 8 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 29th · tough |
| W10 | @ IND | Sun, Nov 15 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 5th · soft |
| W11 | @ BUF | Sun, Nov 22 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 6th · soft |
| W12 | vs NYJ | Sun, Nov 29 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 12th |
| W13 | @ DEN | Sun, Dec 6 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 11th |
| W14 | vs CHI | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 30th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | NE | 2 car, 5 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| W7 | NYJ | 6 car, 8 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| W5 | CIN | 6 car, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| W4 | MIN | 5 car, 7 yd | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| W2 | SF | 2 car, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| W1 | LV | 1 car, -1 yd | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 |