NYJ — Week 1 at TEN, who allow the 11th-most points to TEs — recently Juwan Johnson put up 9.5 on them (W17), Brenton Strange put up 11.2 on them (W18).
Jeremy Ruckert projects 0.9 PPR points in week 1 at TEN — the 11th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 2.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs TEN: 248.3 passing yards a game allowed (8.23/attempt) · 1.8 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how TEN defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 6% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 47.2% offensive snaps · 7.3% target share · 2.9% air-yard share (aDOT 3.5). TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Jeremy Ruckert in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ TEN | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 11th |
| W2 | vs GB | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 24th |
| W3 | @ DET | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 15th |
| W4 | @ CHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 18th |
| W5 | vs CLE | Sun, Oct 11 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 23rd |
| W6 | @ NE | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W17 | NE | 1/3 rec, 2 yd | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| W16 | NO | 2/3 rec, 14 yd | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| W15 | JAX | 2/2 rec, 13 yd | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| W14 | MIA | 2/3 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| W13 | ATL | 2/2 rec, 12 yd | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| W11 | NE | 4/5 rec, 23 yd | 2.3 | 4.3 | 6.3 |
| W8 | CIN | 1/1 rec, 24 yd | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| W5 | DAL | 4/4 rec, 28 yd | 2.8 | 4.8 | 6.8 |
| W4 | MIA | 1/1 rec, 23 yd | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| W2 | BUF | 1/1 rec, 5 yd, 1 TD | 6.5 | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| W1 | PIT | 2/2 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.6 |