CLE — Week 2 at TB, who allow the 27th-most points to WRs — recently Tee Higgins put up 5.9 on them (W1).
4.6 PPR points against JAX on 2/4 rec, 26 yd — right on his 7.4 projection (-2.8). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jerry Jeudy projects 7.6 PPR points in week 2 at TB — the 27th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 4.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TB: 254 passing yards a game allowed (7.26/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 27th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 63% offensive snaps · 2.5 targets/game, 10.8% target share · 13.4% air-yard share (aDOT 10) · 1 catches for 13 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 84.5% offensive snaps, 6.2 targets/game, 20.5% target share, 35.4% air-yard share (aDOT 12.2), 2.9 catches for 35.4 yards/game, 2 TD. (2025) TD luck: 2 scored vs 2.9 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.6 · median 5 · ceiling 12.3 — 18% chance of 10+, 7% of 15+, 1% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jerry Jeudy in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TB | Sun, Sep 20 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 27th · tough |
| W3 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 10th |
| W4 | vs PIT | Thu, Oct 1 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 32nd · tough |
| W5 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 7.7 | 23rd |
| W6 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 24th |
| W7 | @ TEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 8.0 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | JAX | 2/4 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 3.6 | 4.6 |