CLE — Week 9 at NO, who allow the 19th-most points to WRs — recently Malik Nabers put up 16.5 on them (W6), DK Metcalf put up 5.6 on them (W7).
Jerry Jeudy projects 4.1 PPR points in week 9 at NO — the 19th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NO: 249.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.6/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 19th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how NO defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 20.5 receiving yards · 17% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 59.4% offensive snaps · 3.4 targets/game, 11.8% target share · 13.2% air-yard share (aDOT 9) · 2.3 catches for 24.4 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 84.5% offensive snaps, 6.2 targets/game, 20.5% target share, 35.4% air-yard share (aDOT 12.2), 2.9 catches for 35.4 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1 · median 2.5 · ceiling 6.6 — 4% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jerry Jeudy in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ NO | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 19th |
| W10 | vs HOU | Sun, Nov 15 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4th · soft |
| W12 | vs LV | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 8th · soft |
| W13 | vs CIN | Sun, Dec 6 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 12th |
| W14 | vs ATL | Sun, Dec 13 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 16th |
| W15 | @ NYG | Sun, Dec 20 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | TEN | 4/4 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 4.1 | 6.1 |
| W6 | BAL | 4/4 rec, 69 yd | 6.9 | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| W5 | NYJ | 3/7 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| W4 | PIT | 3/3 rec, 36 yd | 3.6 | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| W1 | JAX | 2/4 rec, 26 yd | 2.6 | 3.6 | 4.6 |