CAR — Week 1 vs CHI, who allow the 2nd-most points to WRs — recently Jauan Jennings put up 10.2 on them (W17), Amon-Ra St. Brown put up 13.9 on them (W18).
Jimmy Horn projects 1.9 PPR points in week 1 vs CHI — the 2nd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 2.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs CHI: 239.2 passing yards a game allowed (7.63/attempt) · 1.9 TDs/gm through the air · 1.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 2nd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CHI defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 19.2% offensive snaps · 6.4% target share · 2.7% air-yard share (aDOT 6). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Jimmy Horn in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs CHI | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2nd · soft |
| W2 | @ ATL | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 9th |
| W3 | @ CLE | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 22nd |
| W4 | vs DET | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3rd · soft |
| W6 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 18 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 30th · tough |
| W7 | vs TB | Sun, Oct 25 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 16th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | TB | 1/1 rec, 15 yd | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| W17 | SEA | 2/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| W16 | TB | 1 car, 25 yd | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| W15 | NO | 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W12 | SF | 1/1 rec, 11 yd | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| W9 | GB | 1 car, 7 yd · 1/2 rec, 1 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| W8 | BUF | 2 car, 9 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| W7 | NYJ | 1 car, 7 yd · 1/2 rec, 8 yd | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| W6 | DAL | 1 car, 11 yd · 2/2 rec, 36 yd | 4.7 | 5.7 | 6.7 |
| W5 | MIA | 2 car, 10 yd · 2/3 rec, 21 yd | 3.1 | 4.1 | 5.1 |