BAL · Out — Coach's Decision — Week 9 vs JAX, who allow the 24th-most points to QBs — recently C.J. Stroud put up 24 on them (W6), Daniel Jones put up 8.5 on them (W8).
0.9 PPR points against BUF on 10/21, 91 pass yd, 1 INT · 3 car, 3 yd · 1 fum. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Joe Fagnano projects 11.1 PPR points in week 9 vs JAX — the 24th-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 0.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs JAX: 264.3 passing yards a game allowed (7.64/attempt) · 1.1 passing TDs/gm · 2.1 sacks and 1.3 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 12.6 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 24th-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 4.3 · median 10.5 · ceiling 20.3 — 54% chance of 10+, 27% of 15+, 11% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Joe Fagnano in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs JAX | Thu, Nov 5 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 24th |
| W10 | vs LAC | Mon, Nov 16 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 26th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | BUF | 10/21, 91 pass yd, 1 INT · 3 car, 3 yd · 1 fum | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |