WAS · Questionable — Hamstring — Week 1 at PHI, who allow the 32nd-most points to TEs — recently Dawson Knox put up 3 on them (W17), John Bates put up 7.3 on them (W18).
John Bates projects 2.2 PPR points in week 1 at PHI — the 32nd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs PHI: 204.5 passing yards a game allowed (6.41/attempt) · 0.8 TDs/gm through the air · 0.7 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 32nd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how PHI defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 5% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 51.4% offensive snaps · 6.8% target share · 2.9% air-yard share (aDOT 3). TD luck: 1 scored vs 1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare John Bates in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ PHI | Sun, Sep 13 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 32nd · tough |
| W2 | @ DAL | Sun, Sep 20 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 21st |
| W3 | vs SEA | Sun, Sep 27 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 12th |
| W4 | vs IND | Sun, Oct 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 8th · soft |
| W5 | vs NYG | Sun, Oct 11 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 25th · tough |
| W6 | @ SF | Mon, Oct 19 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W18 | PHI | 2/2 rec, 13 yd, 1 TD | 7.3 | 8.3 | 9.3 |
| W15 | NYG | 1/1 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| W13 | DEN | 2/2 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| W10 | DET | 1/2 rec, 6 yd | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| W9 | SEA | 2/4 rec, 20 yd | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| W8 | KC | 1/1 rec, 22 yd | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| W7 | DAL | 1/2 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W5 | LAC | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |