DEN — Week 2 vs JAX, who allow the 27th-most points to RBs — recently Quinshon Judkins put up 5 on them (W1).
Jonah Coleman projects 7.2 PPR points in week 2 vs JAX — the 27th-ranked matchup for RBs. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs JAX: 87 rushing yards a game allowed at 3.95 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 27th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 6% offensive snaps · 5 carries/game (23.3% of team carries) · 30.2% of the backfield's touches · 1.5 targets/game, 5.2% target share · 19.5 rushing and 9.5 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.8 · median 5 · ceiling 12.6 — 17% chance of 10+, 7% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jonah Coleman in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs JAX | Sun, Sep 20 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 7.2 | 27th · tough |
| W3 | vs LAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 19th |
| W4 | @ SF | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 13th |
| W5 | @ LAC | Sun, Oct 11 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 16th |
| W6 | vs SEA | Thu, Oct 15 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 22nd |
| W7 | @ ARI | Sun, Oct 25 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 25th · tough |