CAR · Questionable — Groin — Week 2 at ATL, who allow the 29th-most points to RBs — recently Jaylen Warren put up 5.3 on them (W1).
7.2 PPR points against CHI on 4 car, 14 yd · 1/2 rec, 48 yd — right on his 9.4 projection (-2.2). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jonathon Brooks projects 6.7 PPR points in week 2 at ATL — the 29th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 7.2 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs ATL: 58 rushing yards a game allowed at 2.76 a carry · 0 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 29th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how ATL defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 19% offensive snaps · 4.5 carries/game (20.5% of team carries) · 25.5% of the backfield's touches · 1.5 targets/game, 4.5% target share · 15 rushing and 21.5 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.8 · median 4.9 · ceiling 12.2 — 17% chance of 10+, 6% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jonathon Brooks in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ ATL | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 29th · tough |
| W3 | @ CLE | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 21st |
| W4 | vs DET | Sun, Oct 4 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 6.8 | 17th |
| W6 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 18 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 18th |
| W7 | vs TB | Sun, Oct 25 | 5.2 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 15th |
| W8 | @ GB | Thu, Oct 29 | 4.9 | 5.7 | 6.6 | 11th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CHI | 4 car, 14 yd · 1/2 rec, 48 yd | 6.2 | 6.7 | 7.2 |