MIN — Week 9 vs BUF, who allow the 3rd-most points to WRs — recently Tre Tucker put up 21.7 on them (W6), Rashod Bateman put up 2.2 on them (W8).
11.6 PPR points against DET on 3/8 rec, 66 yd — right on his 9.6 projection (+2). The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jordan Addison projects 8.5 PPR points in week 9 vs BUF — the 3rd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 8.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs BUF: 269 passing yards a game allowed (7.05/attempt) · 2.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.6 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 3rd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how BUF defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 40.5 receiving yards · 25% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 91% offensive snaps · 5.5 targets/game, 21.7% target share · 35% air-yard share (aDOT 15.2) · 2.7 catches for 41.5 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 85.1% offensive snaps, 5.6 targets/game, 18.2% target share, 33% air-yard share (aDOT 13.7), 3 catches for 43.6 yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.3 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.6 · median 5.9 · ceiling 13.7 — 23% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jordan Addison in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs BUF | Mon, Nov 9 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 8.5 | 3rd · soft |
| W10 | @ GB | Sun, Nov 15 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 15th |
| W11 | @ SF | Sun, Nov 22 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 8.1 | 22nd |
| W12 | vs ATL | Sun, Nov 29 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 8.3 | 16th |
| W13 | vs CAR | Sun, Dec 6 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 8.0 | 25th · tough |
| W14 | @ NE | Thu, Dec 10 | 5.4 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 11th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | DET | 3/8 rec, 66 yd | 8.6 | 10.1 | 11.6 |
| W7 | IND | 1 car, 3 yd · 2/3 rec, 20 yd | 2.3 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| W4 | MIA | 1 car, -1 yd · 4/6 rec, 52 yd | 5.1 | 7.1 | 9.1 |
| W3 | TB | 5/9 rec, 90 yd, 1 TD | 15.0 | 17.5 | 20.0 |
| W2 | CHI | 2/5 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 3.1 | 4.1 |