GB — Week 9 at NE, who allow the 22nd-most points to QBs — recently Caleb Williams put up 22.1 on them (W7), Malik Willis put up 15.6 on them (W8).
22.5 PPR points against CAR on 30/41, 288 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT — beat his 17.1 projection by 5.4. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Jordan Love projects 17.4 PPR points in week 9 at NE — the 22nd-ranked matchup for QBs, averaging 20.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at QB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs NE: 235.5 passing yards a game allowed (7.33/attempt) · 1.4 passing TDs/gm · 2.8 sacks and 0.6 INTs/gm · a soft spot for rushing QBs — 9 QB rush yds/gm — all of it adding up to the 22nd-most fantasy points allowed to QBs. Receipts and the full profile: how NE defends QBs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 277.5 passing yards · 1.67 passing TDs · 3.5 rushing yards · 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 99.6% offensive snaps · 39 attempts/game, 61.5% completions, 7.2 yards/attempt, 280.8 passing yards/game, 16 TD to 6 INT · 1.4 carries/game. 2025 baseline (15 games): 94.3% offensive snaps, 29.3 attempts/game, 66.3% completions, 7.7 yards/attempt, 225.4 passing yards/game, 23 TD to 6 INT, 3.1 carries/game. (2026) Passing-TD luck: 16 thrown vs 20.2 expected. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 8.3 · median 17.2 · ceiling 25.8 — 84% chance of 10+, 62% of 15+, 36% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Jordan Love in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ NE | Sun, Nov 8 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 17.4 | 22nd |
| W10 | vs MIN | Sun, Nov 15 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 32nd · tough |
| W12 | @ LAR | Wed, Nov 25 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 20th |
| W13 | @ NO | Sun, Dec 6 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 17th |
| W14 | vs BUF | Sun, Dec 13 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 18.1 | 11th |
| W15 | vs MIA | Sun, Dec 20 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 20.8 | 3rd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | CAR | 30/41, 288 pass yd, 3 TD, 1 INT | 22.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 |
| W7 | DET | 27/45, 274 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 |
| W6 | DAL | 23/41, 276 pass yd, 1 TD, 1 INT · 4 car, 12 yd, 1 TD | 21.2 | 21.2 | 21.2 |
| W5 | CHI | 25/31, 367 pass yd, 2 TD · 1 car, 6 yd | 25.3 | 25.3 | 25.3 |
| W4 | TB | 22/30, 197 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT · 4 car, -8 yd | 14.1 | 14.1 | 14.1 |
| W3 | ATL | 28/53, 312 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT · 1 car, 0 yd | 19.5 | 19.5 | 19.5 |
| W2 | NYJ | 16/29, 145 pass yd, 2 TD | 13.8 | 13.8 | 13.8 |
| W1 | MIN | 21/42, 387 pass yd, 2 TD, 1 INT · 1 car, 0 yd · 1 fum | 20.5 | 20.5 | 20.5 |