LAR — Week 1 vs SF, who allow the 13th-most points to WRs — recently Luther Burden put up 19.8 on them (W17), Jaxon Smith-Njigba put up 8.4 on them (W18).
Jordan Whittington projects 0.6 PPR points in week 1 vs SF — the 13th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs SF: 241.8 passing yards a game allowed (7.06/attempt) · 1.7 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 13th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how SF defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 40.8% offensive snaps · 5.1% target share · 3.8% air-yard share (aDOT 6.8). TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Jordan Whittington in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | vs SF | Thu, Sep 10 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 13th |
| W2 | vs NYG | Mon, Sep 21 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 10th |
| W3 | @ DEN | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 31st · tough |
| W4 | @ PHI | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 30th · tough |
| W5 | vs BUF | Mon, Oct 12 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 23rd |
| W6 | vs ARI | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 19th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W16 | SEA | 1/1 rec, 19 yd | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| W14 | ARI | 1/1 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W12 | TB | 3/3 rec, 17 yd | 1.7 | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| W11 | SEA | 1/1 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| W7 | JAX | 2/4 rec, 9 yd | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| W6 | BAL | 3/4 rec, 23 yd | 2.3 | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| W5 | SF | 2/3 rec, 33 yd | 3.3 | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| W4 | IND | 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W3 | PHI | 2 car, 7 yd · 2/3 rec, 7 yd | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| W2 | TEN | 2/2 rec, 42 yd | 4.2 | 5.2 | 6.2 |
| W1 | HOU | 1 car, 5 yd | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |