NO — Week 3 vs LV, who allow the 23rd-most points to TEs — recently Greg Dulcich put up 1.8 on them (W1), Oronde Gadsden put up 7.8 on them (W2).
10.6 PPR points against BAL on 4/4 rec, 66 yd — right on his 9.9 projection (+0.7). The week 3 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Juwan Johnson projects 9.9 PPR points in week 3 vs LV — the 23rd-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 12.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 3 angle vs LV: 206 passing yards a game allowed (7.63/attempt) · 0.5 TDs/gm through the air · 1.5 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how LV defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 68.5% offensive snaps · 5.5 targets/game, 13% target share · 10.6% air-yard share (aDOT 8) · 3.5 catches for 60 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 75% offensive snaps, 6 targets/game, 17.7% target share, 15.5% air-yard share (aDOT 7.6), 4.5 catches for 52.3 yards/game, 3 TD. (2025) TD luck: 3 scored vs 2.1 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 3 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.3 · median 6.7 · ceiling 13.7 — 25% chance of 10+, 9% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Juwan Johnson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | vs LV | Sun, Sep 27 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 9.9 | 23rd |
| W4 | vs ATL | Mon, Oct 5 | 6.1 | 8.1 | 10.0 | 3rd · soft |
| W5 | vs MIN | Sun, Oct 11 | 5.7 | 7.6 | 9.5 | 22nd |
| W6 | @ NYG | Sun, Oct 18 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 9.8 | 13th |
| W7 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 25 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.8 | 18th |
| W9 | vs CLE | Sun, Nov 8 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 21st |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | BAL | 4/4 rec, 66 yd | 6.6 | 8.6 | 10.6 |
| W1 | DET | 3/7 rec, 54 yd, 1 TD | 11.4 | 12.9 | 14.4 |