NO — Week 9 vs CLE, who allow the 11th-most points to TEs — recently Gunnar Helm put up 2.4 on them (W7), Pat Freiermuth put up 9.6 on them (W8).
Juwan Johnson projects 10.2 PPR points in week 9 vs CLE — the 11th-ranked matchup for TEs, averaging 6.4 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at TE — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CLE: 214.6 passing yards a game allowed (6.55/attempt) · 1.4 TDs/gm through the air · 0.8 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 11th-most fantasy points allowed to TEs. Receipts and the full profile: how CLE defends TEs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 30.5 receiving yards · 24% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 65% offensive snaps · 5.3 targets/game, 14.1% target share · 6.3% air-yard share (aDOT 4.6) · 3.7 catches for 36.4 yards/game, 3 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 75% offensive snaps, 6 targets/game, 17.7% target share, 15.5% air-yard share (aDOT 7.6), 4.5 catches for 52.3 yards/game, 3 TD. (2026) TD luck: 3 scored vs 2.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 3.3 · median 7.3 · ceiling 14.3 — 29% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Juwan Johnson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | vs CLE | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 11th |
| W10 | vs CAR | Sun, Nov 15 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 13th |
| W11 | @ CHI | Sun, Nov 22 | 7.1 | 9.2 | 11.3 | 21st |
| W12 | @ CIN | Sun, Nov 29 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 11.2 | 10th |
| W13 | vs GB | Sun, Dec 6 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 10.7 | 31st · tough |
| W14 | @ CAR | Sun, Dec 13 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 13th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | PIT | 1/3 rec, 7 yd | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| W5 | MIN | 4/5 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| W4 | ATL | 6/8 rec, 59 yd | 5.9 | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| W3 | LV | 8/8 rec, 53 yd, 2 TD · 1 fum | 15.3 | 19.3 | 23.3 |
| W2 | BAL | 4/4 rec, 66 yd | 6.6 | 8.6 | 10.6 |
| W1 | DET | 3/7 rec, 54 yd, 1 TD | 11.4 | 12.9 | 14.4 |