TB — Week 1 at CIN, who allow the 26th-most points to WRs — recently Michael Wilson put up 14.9 on them (W17), Malachi Corley put up 3.8 on them (W18).
Kameron Johnson projects 0.5 PPR points in week 1 at CIN — the 26th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 5.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 1 angle vs CIN: 245.6 passing yards a game allowed (7.82/attempt) · 1.9 TDs/gm through the air · 0.8 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 26th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how CIN defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 1): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2025): 9.7% offensive snaps · 1.5% target share · 1.9% air-yard share (aDOT 12.6). TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Kameron Johnson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | @ CIN | Sun, Sep 13 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 26th · tough |
| W2 | vs CLE | Sun, Sep 20 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 22nd |
| W3 | vs MIN | Sun, Sep 27 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 32nd · tough |
| W4 | vs GB | Sun, Oct 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 14th |
| W5 | @ DAL | Thu, Oct 8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1st · soft |
| W6 | vs PIT | Sun, Oct 18 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 8th · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W10 | NE | 1 car, 11 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| W6 | SF | 4/4 rec, 64 yd, 1 TD | 12.4 | 14.4 | 16.4 |
| W5 | SEA | 1 car, 2 yd | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |