TB — Week 8 vs ATL, who allow the 16th-most points to WRs — recently Luther Burden III put up 9.5 on them (W6), Jordan Watkins put up 5.6 on them (W7).
Kameron Johnson projects 0.5 PPR points in week 8 vs ATL — the 16th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 1.3 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs ATL: 271.4 passing yards a game allowed (6.67/attempt) · 1.6 TDs/gm through the air · 0.4 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 16th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how ATL defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 9% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 3.4% offensive snaps · 0.3 targets/game, 1.1% target share · 0.3% air-yard share (aDOT 1) · 0.1 catches for 0.4 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 9.7% offensive snaps, 0.4 targets/game, 1.5% target share, 1.9% air-yard share (aDOT 12.6), 0.2 catches for 3.8 yards/game, 1 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare Kameron Johnson in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | vs ATL | Sun, Nov 1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 16th |
| W9 | @ CHI | Sun, Nov 8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 19th |
| W11 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 22 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4th · soft |
| W12 | vs CAR | Mon, Nov 30 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 28th · tough |
| W13 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 20th |
| W14 | @ BAL | Sun, Dec 13 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 9th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W4 | GB | 1/2 rec, 3 yd | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 |