DAL · Questionable — Ribs — Week 9 at IND, who allow the 23rd-most points to WRs — recently Justin Jefferson put up 4.4 on them (W7), Brian Thomas Jr. put up 7.2 on them (W8).
KaVontae Turpin projects 2.5 PPR points in week 9 at IND — the 23rd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 3.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs IND: 226.3 passing yards a game allowed (7.87/attempt) · 1.8 TDs/gm through the air · 0.3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 23rd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how IND defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 12% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 14.8% offensive snaps · 1.2 targets/game, 3% target share · 2.2% air-yard share (aDOT 6.1) · 0.7 catches for 6.5 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (15 games): 35.5% offensive snaps, 2.5 targets/game, 6.9% target share, 7.6% air-yard share (aDOT 8.9), 1.7 catches for 26.4 yards/game, 2 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 0.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Compare KaVontae Turpin in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ IND | Sun, Nov 8 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 23rd |
| W10 | vs SF | Sun, Nov 15 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 22nd |
| W11 | vs TEN | Sun, Nov 22 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2nd · soft |
| W12 | vs PHI | Thu, Nov 26 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1st · soft |
| W13 | @ SEA | Mon, Dec 7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 32nd · tough |
| W15 | @ LAR | Sun, Dec 20 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 24th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W5 | TB | 2/4 rec, 22 yd · 1 fum | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| W3 | BAL | 1 car, 9 yd, 1 TD · 1/2 rec, 9 yd | 7.8 | 8.3 | 8.8 |
| W2 | WAS | 1 car, 1 yd | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| W1 | NYG | 1/1 rec, 8 yd | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |