HOU — Week 9 at LAC, who allow the 18th-most points to WRs — recently Xavier Worthy put up 7.3 on them (W6), Puka Nacua put up 14 on them (W8).
Kayshon Boutte projects 3.9 PPR points in week 9 at LAC — the 18th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 4.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs LAC: 207.7 passing yards a game allowed (7.42/attempt) · 1.1 TDs/gm through the air · 0.9 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 18th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how LAC defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 9): 14.5 receiving yards · 11% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 7 games): 54.3% offensive snaps · 3.3 targets/game, 10.1% target share · 12.7% air-yard share (aDOT 12.2) · 2.1 catches for 27.7 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 67.5% offensive snaps, 3.3 targets/game, 12% target share, 21.5% air-yard share (aDOT 17), 2.4 catches for 39.4 yards/game, 6 TD. (2026) TD luck: 0 scored vs 0.7 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.7 · median 2.4 · ceiling 6.8 — 5% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kayshon Boutte in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ LAC | Sun, Nov 8 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 18th |
| W10 | @ CLE | Sun, Nov 15 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 20th |
| W11 | vs IND | Thu, Nov 19 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 23rd |
| W12 | vs BAL | Sun, Nov 29 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 10th |
| W13 | @ PIT | Sun, Dec 6 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 28th · tough |
| W14 | @ WAS | Sun, Dec 13 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 14th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | NYG | 1/2 rec, 25 yd | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| W6 | JAX | 2/3 rec, 16 yd | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| W5 | TEN | 3/5 rec, 38 yd | 3.8 | 5.3 | 6.8 |
| W4 | DAL | 3/4 rec, 36 yd | 3.6 | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| W3 | IND | 2/2 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| W2 | CIN | 3/5 rec, 37 yd | 3.7 | 5.2 | 6.7 |
| W1 | BUF | 1/2 rec, 21 yd | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.1 |