CLE — Week 2 at TB, who allow the 27th-most points to WRs — recently Tee Higgins put up 5.9 on them (W1).
7.8 PPR points against JAX on 3 car, 15 yd · 4/5 rec, 43 yd · 1 fum — right on his 9.5 projection (-1.7). The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
KC Concepcion projects 9.9 PPR points in week 2 at TB — the 27th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 7.8 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs TB: 254 passing yards a game allowed (7.26/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 1 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 27th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how TB defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 69% offensive snaps · 5.5 targets/game, 21.4% target share · 19.4% air-yard share (aDOT 6.8) · 5 catches for 35.5 yards/game, 0 TD. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.4 · median 7.2 · ceiling 15.6 — 34% chance of 10+, 12% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare KC Concepcion in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | @ TB | Sun, Sep 20 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 27th · tough |
| W3 | vs CAR | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 9.4 | 10th |
| W4 | vs PIT | Thu, Oct 1 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 9.1 | 32nd · tough |
| W5 | @ NYJ | Sun, Oct 11 | 6.9 | 8.5 | 10.1 | 23rd |
| W6 | vs BAL | Sun, Oct 18 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 24th |
| W7 | @ TEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 7.1 | 8.8 | 10.4 | 17th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | JAX | 3 car, 15 yd · 4/5 rec, 43 yd · 1 fum | 3.8 | 5.8 | 7.8 |