LAC — Week 2 vs LV, who allow the 31st-most points to RBs — recently De'Von Achane put up 6.6 on them (W1).
0.9 PPR points against ARI on 4 car, 9 yd — missed his 6.6 projection by 5.7. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Keaton Mitchell projects 6.3 PPR points in week 2 vs LV — the 31st-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 0.9 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs LV: 74 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.11 a carry · 1 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 31st-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how LV defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 31% offensive snaps · 4.5 carries/game (17% of team carries) · 21.3% of the backfield's touches · 0.5 targets/game, 1.9% target share · 16.5 rushing and 7.5 receiving yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (13 games): 17.5% offensive snaps, 4.5 carries/game (14% of team carries), 18.3% of the backfield's touches, 0.9 targets/game, 4.2% target share, 26.2 rushing and 4.8 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. (2025) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.5 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1.2 · median 4.8 · ceiling 11.3 — 14% chance of 10+, 5% of 15+, 2% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Keaton Mitchell in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs LV | Sun, Sep 20 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 31st · tough |
| W3 | @ BUF | Sun, Sep 27 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 6th · soft |
| W4 | @ SEA | Sun, Oct 4 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 22nd |
| W5 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 11 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 2nd · soft |
| W6 | @ KC | Sun, Oct 18 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 26th · tough |
| W8 | @ LAR | Sun, Nov 1 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 19th |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | ARI | 4 car, 9 yd | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |