IND — Week 8 at JAX, who allow the 3rd-most points to WRs — recently Darius Cooper put up 13.1 on them (W5), Jaylin Noel put up 16.7 on them (W6).
6.1 PPR points against MIN on 3/3 rec, 31 yd — missed his 9.3 projection by 3.2. The week 8 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Keenan Allen projects 9.6 PPR points in week 8 at JAX — the 3rd-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 10.6 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 8 angle vs JAX: 283 passing yards a game allowed (8.01/attempt) · 1.2 TDs/gm through the air · 1.2 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 3rd-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how JAX defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
What Vegas expects (week 8): 51 receiving yards · 24% anytime-TD — de-vigged sportsbook consensus, shown for information; we take no bets.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 6 games): 59.3% offensive snaps · 7.2 targets/game, 21.2% target share · 18.6% air-yard share (aDOT 7.4) · 4.8 catches for 43 yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 55.5% offensive snaps, 7.2 targets/game, 22.1% target share, 22.8% air-yard share (aDOT 8.4), 4.8 catches for 45.7 yards/game, 4 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.4 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 8 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 2.2 · median 6.1 · ceiling 15.3 — 26% chance of 10+, 11% of 15+, 4% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Keenan Allen in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | @ JAX | Sun, Nov 1 | 5.4 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 3rd · soft |
| W9 | vs DAL | Sun, Nov 8 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 10.5 | 7th · soft |
| W10 | vs MIA | Sun, Nov 15 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 10.6 | 30th · tough |
| W11 | @ HOU | Thu, Nov 19 | 5.3 | 7.3 | 9.3 | 6th · soft |
| W12 | vs NYG | Sun, Nov 29 | 5.2 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 17th |
| W14 | @ PHI | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 8.6 | 2nd · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | MIN | 3/3 rec, 31 yd | 3.1 | 4.6 | 6.1 |
| W6 | TEN | 8/11 rec, 82 yd | 8.2 | 12.2 | 16.2 |
| W5 | PIT | 5/9 rec, 45 yd | 4.5 | 7.0 | 9.5 |
| W3 | HOU | 6/9 rec, 63 yd, 1 TD | 12.3 | 15.3 | 18.3 |
| W2 | KC | 1/5 rec, 5 yd | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| W1 | BAL | 6/6 rec, 32 yd | 3.2 | 6.2 | 9.2 |