ARI — Week 2 vs SEA, who allow the 30th-most points to WRs — recently Mack Hollins put up 5.1 on them (W1).
15.5 PPR points against LAC on 8/8 rec, 75 yd — beat his 4.8 projection by 10.7. The week 2 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Kendrick Bourne projects 4.2 PPR points in week 2 vs SEA — the 30th-ranked matchup for WRs, averaging 15.5 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at WR — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 2 angle vs SEA: 178 passing yards a game allowed (5.39/attempt) · 1 TDs/gm through the air · 3 INTs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to WRs. Receipts and the full profile: how SEA defends WRs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 2 games): 67% offensive snaps · 5.5 targets/game, 16.6% target share · 11.7% air-yard share (aDOT 4.5) · 5 catches for 43 yards/game, 0 TD. 2025 baseline (14 games): 56.7% offensive snaps, 3.8 targets/game, 10.8% target share, 14.8% air-yard share (aDOT 11), 2.6 catches for 39.4 yards/game, 0 TD. (2025) TD luck: 0 scored vs 1.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 2 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 0.6 · median 2.5 · ceiling 7.4 — 4% chance of 10+, 0% of 15+, 0% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kendrick Bourne in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs SEA | Sun, Sep 20 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 30th · tough |
| W3 | @ SF | Sun, Sep 27 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 28th · tough |
| W4 | @ NYG | Sun, Oct 4 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 18th |
| W5 | vs DET | Sun, Oct 11 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 3rd · soft |
| W6 | @ LAR | Sun, Oct 18 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 4th · soft |
| W7 | vs DEN | Sun, Oct 25 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 29th · tough |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LAC | 8/8 rec, 75 yd | 7.5 | 11.5 | 15.5 |