TB · Questionable — Hip — Week 9 at CHI, who allow the 30th-most points to RBs — recently Rhamondre Stevenson put up 17.5 on them (W7), Jadarian Price put up 3.7 on them (W8).
14.0 PPR points against ATL on 25 car, 140 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd — beat his 7.2 projection by 6.8. The week 9 outlook below reflects it — projections, values and form all rebuilt nightly.
Kenny Gainwell projects 7.2 PPR points in week 9 at CHI — the 30th-ranked matchup for RBs, averaging 8.7 over his last three. Start him if that clears your other options at RB — run the exact head-to-head in Start/Sit below, or jump straight to a comparison.
The week 9 angle vs CHI: 86.8 rushing yards a game allowed at 4.42 a carry · 0.8 rushing TDs/gm — all of it adding up to the 30th-most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Receipts and the full profile: how CHI defends RBs, linked under The matchup below.
Usage & TD luck (2026 · 8 games): 37.6% offensive snaps · 7.3 carries/game (21.8% of team carries) · 29.1% of the backfield's touches · 2.3 targets/game, 11.2% target share · 36.1 rushing and 7.6 receiving yards/game, 1 TD. 2025 baseline (17 games): 49.6% offensive snaps, 6.7 carries/game (28% of team carries), 39.5% of the backfield's touches, 5 targets/game, 16.3% target share, 31.6 rushing and 28.6 receiving yards/game, 8 TD. (2026) TD luck: 1 scored vs 1.2 expected — neutral. Usage moves before production — snaps and share shifts are the earliest real signal.
Week 9 range (half-PPR, when he plays): floor 1 · median 5 · ceiling 13 — 20% chance of 10+, 8% of 15+, 3% of 20+. Built from real week-to-week variance at his position and scoring level — not a bell curve, the actual shape.
Compare Kenny Gainwell in Start/Sit Try in the Trade Analyzer
Headlines link to their publishers — reported elsewhere, collected here. Our rankings never move on a headline.
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | Matchup | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W9 | @ CHI | Sun, Nov 8 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 30th · tough |
| W11 | @ DET | Sun, Nov 22 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 29th · tough |
| W12 | vs CAR | Mon, Nov 30 | 5.0 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 2nd · soft |
| W13 | vs LAC | Sun, Dec 6 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 9th |
| W14 | @ BAL | Sun, Dec 13 | 4.3 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 23rd |
| W15 | vs NO | Sun, Dec 20 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 1st · soft |
| Wk | Opp | Std | ½ PPR | PPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W8 | ATL | 25 car, 140 yd · 0/1 rec, 0 yd | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| W7 | CAR | 14 car, 88 yd | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.8 |
| W6 | PIT | 2 car, 17 yd · 1/1 rec, 7 yd | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| W5 | DAL | 4 car, 18 yd · 3/4 rec, 10 yd | 2.8 | 4.3 | 5.8 |
| W4 | GB | 3 car, 5 yd · 2/2 rec, 22 yd, 1 TD | 8.7 | 9.7 | 10.7 |
| W3 | MIN | 3 car, -4 yd · 2/5 rec, 14 yd | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| W2 | CLE | 2 car, 10 yd · 3/4 rec, 5 yd | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| W1 | CIN | 5 car, 15 yd · 1/1 rec, 3 yd | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 |